85th Academy Award Predictions: Year in Advance


Well this time last year, I actually predicted 4 of the eventual Best Picture nominees for the 84th Academy Awards (Hugo, Moneyball, The Tree of Life, War Horse).  I also correctly predicted 3 of the 5 Best Lead Actress nominees (Glenn Close, Rooney Mara, Michelle Williams and I predicted Viola Davis for Supporting Actress), 3 of the 5 Adapted Screenplay nominees (The Descendants, The Ides of March, Moneyball), 3 of the 5 Film Editing nominees (category winner The Girl WIth the Dragon Tattoo, Moneyball, War Horse), 4 of the 5 Cinematography nominees (category winner Hugo, The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo, The Tree of Life, War Horse) and 2 of the 3 Makeup nominees (category winner The Iron Lady and Albert Nobbs) so don't be surprised to see at least a few of these predictions to turn out to be correct.  Let's get started:

BEST PICTURE
-Anna Karenina
-Argo
-Django Unchained
-Gravity
-Lincoln
-The Master
-Untitled International Thriller

BEST DIRECTOR
-Ben Affleck, Argo
-P.T. Anderson, The Master
-Steven Spielberg, Lincoln
-Quentin Tarantino, Django Unchained
-Joe Wright, Anna Karenina

BEST LEAD ACTOR
-Daniel Day-Lewis, Lincoln
-Clint Eastwood, Trouble With the Curve
-Richard Gere, Arbitrage
-John Hawkes, The Surrogate
-Bill Murray, Hyde Park on Hudson

BEST LEAD ACTRESS
-Amy Adams, Trouble With the Curve
-Sandra Bullock, Gravity
-Anne Hathaway, Les Miserables
-Keira Knightley, Anna Karenina
-Carey Mulligan, The Great Gatsby

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
-Leonardo DiCaprio, Django Unchained
-Joel Edgerton, The Great Gatsby
-Jude Law, Anna Karenina
-Ian McKellen, The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey
-David Strathairn, Lincoln

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
-Amy Adams, The Master
-Sally Field, Lincoln
-Helen Hunt, The Surrogate
-Laura Linney, Hyde Park on Hudson
-Olivia Williams, Hyde Park on Hudson

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
-Anna Karenina
-Argo
-Lincoln
-The Silver Linings Playbook
-The Wettest County

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
-Django Unchained
-Gambit
-The Master
-Seven Psychopaths
-The Surrogate

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE
-Brave
-ParaNorman
-The Pirates! Band of Misfits
-Rise of the Guardians
-The Secret World of Arrietty

BEST DOCUMENTARY
-Caesar Must Die
-The House I Live In
-The Invisible War
-Marley
-West of Memphis

BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM

BEST ANIMATED SHORT FILM

BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT FILM

BEST LIVE-ACTION SHORT FILM
-The Debutante Hunters

BEST ART DIRECTION
-The Great Gatsby
-The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey
-Les Miserables
-Lincoln
-The Master

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
-Anna Karenina
-The Dark Knight Rises
-Django Unchained
-Gravity
-The Master

BEST COSTUME DESIGN
-Anna Karenina
-Dark Shadows
-The Great Gatsby
-The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey
-Les Miserables

BEST FILM EDITING
-The Dark Knight Rises
-Django Unchained
-Gravity
-Lincoln
-Untitled International Thriller

BEST MAKEUP
-The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey
-Lincoln
-Prometheus

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
-Anna Karenina
-Brave
-The Dark Knight Rises
-The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey
-Lincoln

BEST ORIGINAL SONG
-Brave
-The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey
-The Hunger Games
-Les Miserables
-Skyfall

BEST SOUND EDITING
-The Dark Knight Rises
-Gravity
-The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey
-Les Miserables
-Untitled International Thriller

BEST SOUND MIXING
-The Avengers
-The Dark Knight Rises
-Gravity
-The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey
-Prometheus

15 comments:

  1. Sally fields doesn't get a mention? I dont get how you can even tell with most of the movies having not bad trailers yet. And you said last year you predicted them oscar picks.. and novice could have seen them coming. Just chill out before you make yourself seem even more dumb and leave the oscar prediction for people who appeiriate acting

    ReplyDelete
  2. For someone who slams a person for not "appreciating acting" it seems odd that you would not only misspell Sally Field, but fail to recognize that she is mentioned in this article in the supporting actress category.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Excellent list Ryan! Although I think Beasts of the Southern Wild may upset Anna Karenina.

      Delete
    2. Thanks. Yes, Joe Wright seems like a future Oscar winner so I wouldn't be surprised if Anna Karenina. However, because Beasts of the Southern Wild has been seen already it is the safer bet at this exact moment.

      Delete
  3. Don't listen to the haters Ryan. This list looks pretty good to me, and I'm also not currently predicting Sally either (I think the boys may take away all the focus in that film).

    FYI, Debutante Hunters shows up as a documentary short on IMDB, even though it sounds a little bit "staged" in its set up.

    Keep up the great work my friend!

    ReplyDelete
  4. Thanks David and that is interesting to hear about Debutante Hunters.

    ReplyDelete
  5. BEST PICTURE

    Only God Forgives
    Django Unchained
    *The Dark Knight Rises*
    The Silver Linings Playbook
    The Master
    Lincoln
    Les Miserables
    The Wettest Country
    Prometheus
    Gravity

    BEST DIRECTOR

    *Christopher Nolan - The Dark Knight Rises*
    Steven Spielberg - Lincoln
    Ridley Scott - Prometheus
    John Hillcoat - The Wettest Country
    Paul Thomas Anderson - The Master

    BEST ACTOR

    *Daniel Day-Lewis - Lincoln*
    Bradley Cooper - The Silver Linings Playbook
    Philip Seymour Hoffman - The Master
    Hugh Jackman - Les Miserables
    Ryan Gosling - Only God Forgives

    BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

    Michael Fassbender - Prometheus
    Tom Hardy - The Dark Knight Rises
    Guy Pearce - The Wettest Country
    Joaquin Phoenix - The Master
    *Leonardo DiCaprio - Django Unchained*

    BEST ACTRESS

    Ellen Page - Nero Fiddled
    Sandra Bullock - Gravity
    Sally Field - Lincoln
    Keira Knightley - Anna Karenina
    *Noomi Rapace - Prometheus*

    BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

    *Anne Hathaway - The Dark Knight Rises*
    Amy Adams - The Master
    Helena Bonham Carter - Les Miserables
    Jennifer Lawrence - The Silver Linings Playbook
    Jessica Chastain - The Wettest Country

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Inasmuch as i would LOVE to see TDKR nominated, I feel it is a bit of a dream right now. Christopher Nolan, I hope, should be nominated for Direction, but the Academy has not been very kind to him recently. Lets just hope for the best.

      Delete
  6. Interesting set of predictions. I really wonder if 2 actresses in sci-fi films could get into Best Actress. It is not out of the realm of possibility at this point and would be a great moment for the Academy Awards.

    ReplyDelete
  7. "Nero Fiddled" now retitled "To Rome With Love". Get with it!!!

    ReplyDelete
  8. Best live action short film:

    -A fábrica
    -Doubles with Slight Pepper
    -The Exaordinary life of Rocky
    -Fishing without Nets
    -*Limerence*

    List of the qualifying short film
    http://www.imdb.com/list/edit?list_id=ia6ec_BCC5A

    ReplyDelete
  9. Original song should go to 'Voodoo' from Halloween Party or 'Freedom' from Django Unchained. However, it will probably end up in Adele's hands or one of the animations (Brave or Wreck it Ralph...both great songs and more the Academy's cup of tea).

    ReplyDelete
  10. Yea I think a song from Django Unchained could certainly get in. The winner will either be Adele or the new original song from Les Miserables.

    ReplyDelete
  11. Wow.. is there a reason you don't have Searching for Sugar Man on that documentary list

    ReplyDelete
  12. These are my predictions from a year ago. Click the button to the right of "Home" at the top of the page to see my updated predictions.

    ReplyDelete

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